Western Michigan vs Ball State 10/13/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Western Michigan winning 55% of simulations, and Ball State 45% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Western Michigan commits fewer turnovers in 27% of simulations and they go on to win 68% when they take care of the ball. Ball State wins 55% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Tyler Van Tubbergen is averaging 334 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (40% chance) then he helps his team win 75%. Keith Wenning is averaging 259 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (37% chance) then he helps his team win 59%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BALL -2

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